Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.890526 3.038905 3.194987 3.372142 3.568555 3.780727 4.028731
2025-06-29 2.564412 2.753532 2.960722 3.206735 3.493856 3.822252 4.232185
2025-07-06 2.358380 2.574349 2.818718 3.119866 3.487180 3.929481 4.517299
2025-07-13 2.273872 2.523028 2.814290 3.187424 3.664853 4.274415 5.148218
2025-07-20 2.178935 2.449715 2.774794 3.205091 3.779212 4.552692 5.746678
2025-07-27 2.139890 2.439190 2.808804 3.315859 4.025337 5.044414 6.773869
2025-08-03 2.085679 2.404467 2.807520 3.377648 4.209842 5.479079 7.850200
2025-08-10 2.000698 2.324239 2.739937 3.340683 4.244701 5.687119 8.599239
2025-08-17 1.893340 2.208841 2.617846 3.216097 4.132263 5.633617 8.814932
2025-08-24 1.814045 2.126218 2.534936 3.140899 4.087535 5.687787 9.284099
2025-08-31 1.761613 2.076384 2.493470 3.122177 4.129073 5.900575 10.213462
2025-09-07 1.699154 2.010194 2.425629 3.058850 4.090341 5.956715 10.778966
2025-09-14 1.626627 1.932306 2.344209 2.979952 4.035812 6.009965 11.499299
2025-09-21 1.552194 1.849316 2.252249 2.879818 3.937075 5.963276 11.936021
2025-09-28 1.497988 1.792043 2.194375 2.829075 3.920344 6.088707 13.088049
2025-10-05 1.483012 1.788074 2.212685 2.899535 4.129795 6.767287 17.336902
2025-10-12 1.456083 1.766021 2.203086 2.923969 4.258116 7.308095 22.524210
2025-10-19 1.450386 1.773466 2.237385 3.023881 4.550636 8.408625 38.603538
2025-10-26 1.433905 1.764480 2.245977 3.080521 4.766290 9.427717 78.710337
2025-11-02 1.398771 1.726868 2.208289 3.052426 4.794395 9.864451 151.874655
2025-11-09 1.348598 1.665610 2.131200 2.948778 4.640566 9.597785 165.642369
2025-11-16 1.310324 1.620764 2.078251 2.885937 4.574172 9.646454 296.248103
2025-11-23 1.284818 1.593906 2.052463 2.870742 4.616133 10.139957 NaN